The five pressures
Volatility, changing buyers, machine buying, shorter product lives and geopolitics, arriving together. Suppliers have to trim their sails more often.
Any one of the five would have been a decade’s worth of change. They have arrived together. A VUCA world in which instability is the condition rather than the exception. Buyers who have done most of their research before they let a salesperson in the room. Machine buying, in which a growing share of B2B purchasing is agents talking to agents. Shorter product life cycles, which the book calls its commercial heart, because the innovation-obsolescence cycle means every offer ages faster than it used to. And geopolitical shifts that redraw supply chains and tariff schedules between one planning round and the next.
The net effect is not that strategy has become impossible. It is that suppliers simply have to trim their sails more often, and the annual account plan, written once and filed, was designed for weather that no longer exists.
Set out in full in: Creating Customer Value Propositions with AI (Kogan Page, 2027), chapter 1.
Related terms
VUCA
Volatility, uncertainty, complexity, ambiguity: the US Army War College's description of the post-Cold War world, now the standing weather of business markets.
Machine buying
B2B purchasing done by software agents on the buyer's side. Around a third of it by 2030, and the transactional layer of selling with it.
The innovation-obsolescence cycle
A product peaks within a year or two, then falls around 30% a year. Every launch ages the rest of the portfolio, so you launch to stand still.
Offer Development and Innovation (ODI)
The capability to repeatedly create propositions a competitor cannot copy. Three phases: needs analysis, offer ideation, value proposition.
See the method run on one real account in three days: the One Page Proposition.